Role changes
What already changed
Coaches decide role; role decides opportunity; scores follow last. Every entry below is a player whose opportunity profile has already shifted — what moved, when, and what that shift has historically been worth.
Our position
Nothing on this page forecasts a score. Every entry is an observed change that has already happened, measured against the player's own prior baseline with an unflagged control group. We publish the effect size and the sample so you can judge it yourself.
Historically, what a flagged change has been worth
Expanded role
+11.64SC/game
vs -0.37 for unflagged players
Reduced role
-5.74SC/game
n=130 detections, 2026 season
Price lag
2rounds
70% moved >5% · mean 6.5%
Why the lag exists
SuperCoach prices off a rolling average of recent scores, so price lags role by construction. This is a structural property of the scoring system, not a market inefficiency that closes.
60 detected
- Sam FlandersSt Kildareducedhigh confidenceR10 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances12 → 0-12
- Harry McKayCarltonexpandedhigh confidenceR9 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances0 → 5.7+5.7
- Max HallSt Kildareducedhigh confidenceR19 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances19.5 → 9.3-10.2
- Miles BergmanPort Adelaideexpandedhigh confidenceR19 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances0 → 20+20
- Angus AndersonCollingwoodexpandedhigh confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground64.2% → 84%+19.8%
- Will GrahamGold Coastreducedhigh confidenceR10 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground79% → 41.3%-37.7%
- Mattaes PhillipouSt Kildareducedhigh confidenceR17 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances4 → 17.3+13.3
- time on ground81.7% → 69.7%-12%
- Corey WagnerFremantlereducedhigh confidenceR8 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground79% → 68.7%-10.3%
- Jaspa FletcherBrisbaneexpandedmedium confidenceR14 · 3 rounds ago
- kick-in share14.2% → 49.4%+35.3%
- Noah BaltaRichmondreducedmedium confidenceR15 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances14.8 → 6-8.8
- Jake StringerGWSexpandedmedium confidenceR17 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground81.8% → 97.3%+15.5%
- Kai LohmannBrisbaneexpandedmedium confidenceR19 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground75.8% → 84%+8.2%
- Harry DeanCarltonexpandedmedium confidenceR13 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground74% → 88.7%+14.7%
- Lachlan BrambleWestern Bulldogsexpandedmedium confidenceR19 · 3 rounds ago
- kick-in share16% → 52.8%+36.8%
- Archer Day-WicksEssendonreducedmedium confidenceR16 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground79% → 67.7%-11.3%
- Jase BurgoynePort Adelaideexpandedmedium confidenceR19 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances3 → 15+12
- Toby BedfordGWSexpandedmedium confidenceR16 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances7.2 → 21+13.8
- Oisin MullinGeelongexpandedmedium confidenceR7 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances4.2 → 23.3+19.2
- Izak RankineAdelaideexpandedmedium confidenceR8 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances7 → 21.3+14.3
- Oliver DempseyGeelongexpandedmedium confidenceR7 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground83.3% → 91.3%+8%
- Jarrod WittsGold Coastreducedmedium confidenceR13 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances23 → 11-12
- time on ground70.5% → 46.7%-23.8%
- hitouts29.3 → 16-13.3
- William EdwardsSydneyexpandedmedium confidenceR17 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground83.7% → 92.3%+8.7%
- Isaac QuaynorCollingwoodreducedmedium confidenceR7 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground85.5% → 77%-8.5%
- Kysaiah PickettMelbournereducedmedium confidenceR9 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances26.2 → 19.3-6.8
- Jack GrahamWest Coastreducedmedium confidenceR17 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances15.2 → 2-13.2
- Harry HimmelbergGWSexpandedmedium confidenceR17 · 3 rounds ago
- kick-in share13% → 71.9%+58.9%
- Xavier O'HalloranGWSexpandedmedium confidenceR7 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances3.5 → 11.3+7.8
- Rhylee WestWestern Bulldogsreducedmedium confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground82.5% → 72.3%-10.2%
- Bradley HillSt Kildaexpandedmedium confidenceR15 · 3 rounds ago
- kick-in share3.3% → 35.6%+32.3%
- Scott PendleburyCollingwoodreducedmedium confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground79% → 66.7%-12.3%
- Jordon SweetPort Adelaideexpandedmedium confidenceR13 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground76% → 86.3%+10.3%
- Isaiah DudleyFremantleexpandedmedium confidenceR15 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground68.2% → 78.7%+10.5%
- Lloyd MeekHawthornexpandedmedium confidenceR16 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground54.8% → 75.7%+20.8%
- hitouts18.3 → 40.3+22
- Max GawnMelbournereducedmedium confidenceR7 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances26.5 → 16.7-9.8
- Wil PowellGold Coastreducedmedium confidenceR7 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances19.2 → 0-19.2
- Hugh McCluggageBrisbanereducedmedium confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances19.2 → 10.3-8.8
- Joe FontiGWSreducedmedium confidenceR19 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground83% → 75%-8%
- James RowbottomSydneyexpandedmedium confidenceR11 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground70.2% → 83.3%+13.2%
- Josh RacheleAdelaidereducedmedium confidenceR9 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances15 → 2.3-12.7
- Matthew KennedyWestern Bulldogsreducedmedium confidenceR19 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances12.2 → 0.3-11.8
- Patrick CrippsCarltonexpandedmedium confidenceR19 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances21 → 27.3+6.3
- Harry SheezelNorth Melbournereducedmedium confidenceR15 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances21.2 → 12.7-8.5
- Mark BlicavsGeelongexpandedmedium confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances0.3 → 5.7+5.3
- Tristan XerriNorth Melbourneexpandedmedium confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground69.2% → 78.7%+9.5%
- Callum BrownGWSexpandedmedium confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- hitouts1.2 → 7.3+6.2
- Ned MoyleGold Coastexpandedmedium confidenceR17 · 3 rounds ago
- hitouts24.7 → 50+25.3
- Caleb SerongFremantleexpandedmedium confidenceR17 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground73.2% → 81.7%+8.5%
- Ned LongCollingwoodexpandedmedium confidenceR17 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances3.5 → 13.3+9.8
- Matthew JohnsonFremantleexpandedmedium confidenceR10 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances6.5 → 19+12.5
- Zeke UwlandGold Coastexpandedmedium confidenceR10 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground66.3% → 79.3%+13%
- Liam RyanSt Kildaexpandedmedium confidenceR14 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground70.7% → 83.3%+12.7%
- Tom AtkinsGeelongreducedmedium confidenceR9 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances21 → 12.3-8.7
- Tom ColeWest Coastexpandedmedium confidenceR14 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground77.7% → 86.7%+9%
- Levi AshcroftBrisbanereducedmedium confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances9 → 0.7-8.3
- time on ground79.7% → 71.7%-8%
- Bayley FritschMelbourneexpandedmedium confidenceR8 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground84.3% → 93.7%+9.3%
- Neil ErasmusFremantleexpandedlow confidenceR11 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances0.5 → 7.7+7.2
- Lachie JonesPort Adelaideexpandedlow confidenceR16 · 3 rounds ago
- kick-in share4.2% → 37.4%+33.2%
- Aidan CorrNorth Melbourneexpandedlow confidenceR16 · 3 rounds ago
- time on ground76.8% → 91.3%+14.5%
- Toby GreeneGWSreducedlow confidenceR10 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances13.8 → 2-11.8
- Finn CallaghanGWSreducedlow confidenceR18 · 3 rounds ago
- centre bounce attendances23.5 → 10-13.5
- Detected
- 60
- Sample
- n=130 detections, 2026 season
Method. Welch two-sample test, 3-round recent window vs 6-round baseline, on centre bounce attendances, time on ground, hitouts and kick-in share. Threshold t=3.0 with per-measure minimum absolute movement. WedgeCoach projections. Independent AFL analysis. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to Champion Data, the AFL, SuperCoach, KFC AFL Fantasy, or Herald Sun.