AFL fantasy, with the working shown
See what a score was made of — and whether it will repeat
Break any completed score into what each stat group contributed, then split it into the part that sits on components which historically persist and the part that was variance. A 130 built on contested ball is not the same 130 as one built on three goals.
Decompose a score →Know when a player's job has changed
Coaches decide role, role decides opportunity, and scores move last — so a season average is structurally too slow to catch a shift. Every detection is measured against the player's own prior baseline with an unflagged control group, and we publish the effect size and the sample.
See whose role changed →Know exactly what a price will do
Price movement is deterministic given scores — a published formula, not a secret, and we claim no edge in it. What you get here is the whole arc: the round a player peaks, and what holding past it costs. That is not derivable from a single projected price.
See the cash arc →See a realistic range, not a fake single number
Every candidate is drawn as a distribution — floor, middle half, ceiling — because the honest answer to "what will he score" is a range. Nothing is ranked best: the right pick depends on whether you are protecting a lead or chasing one, and only you know which.
Compare captains →
We publish our own accuracy, including the bad rounds
We reverse-engineered the SuperCoach scoring formula from completed stat lines. Everything else on this site is built on it, so how close it lands is the number that matters — and it is written down, round by round, permanently, whether it flattered us that week or not.
Read the accuracy ledger →What we will not do
- Season
- 2026
- Rounds scored
- 22
- Tools
- 5
- Method
- Legal & data attribution
Official SuperCoach prices and scores are the property of their owners. Our figures are independent estimates. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to Champion Data, the AFL, SuperCoach or Herald Sun.